The world’s leading wicket taker in Tests and limited-overs internationals has hobbled through to this stage, picking up hamstring, knee, groin and side injuries along the way and skipped practice on Thursday at the Wankhede stadium, raising doubts of his availability for the title clash.
But Bayliss said the off-spinner, who turns 39 next month, was determined to take the field in his last international match.
“Chances are good that Murali will play,” the coach said. “He completed 10 overs in the semifinal, and such is the character of the man that he will play even with discomfort.”
Sri Lanka are also sweating over all-rounder Angelo Mathews, who picked up a side strain during the semifinal win over New Zealand in Colombo on Tuesday.
Veteran seamer Chaminda Vaas, 37, and off-spinner Suraj Randiv are being flown in as cover for the injured duo, but Bayliss confirmed Sri Lanka had not applied to the International Cricket Council for replacements.
“We have asked for them just to be on the safe side, but Muralitharan and Mathews will be given as long as possible to prove their fitness,” the coach said.
In spite of his injuries, Muralitharan was a key figure in the semifinal win, taking 2-42 including a wicket with his final delivery on home soil for Sri Lanka.
Bayliss was confident Sri Lanka had a good chance to win their second World Cup title after 1996.
“This match is 50-50 at this stage,” he said. “We have been able to do that in the last couple of games and come out with two good wins. The boys are quite confident about their chances in this World Cup.
“We have played good cricket through the tournament and have done well against India in the past.
“The pressure will be on India since they are playing at home, but we are familiar with the conditions in Mumbai.”
While India will be playing at the refurbished 33,000-capacity Wankhede stadium for the first time, Sri Lanka beat New Zealand by 112 runs in a league matcha at the ground on March 18.
“We have played here a couple of weeks ago,” he said. “We had experience of playing on this wicket. We have fighters throughout the competition. This would not be any different.”
Sri Lanka, runners-up to Australia in 2007, marched into their second successive final after losing just one match out of eight in the tournament.
Kumar Sangakkara’s men, playing at home in Colombo, thrashed England by 10 wickets in the quarterfinal before delivering a five-wicket blow to New Zealand in the semifinal.
Sri Lanka have prevailed in recent one-dayers against India, winning six of the 10 matches played last year in Dhaka, Harare, Bulawayo and Dambulla.
But India have won five of seven matches against the Islanders on home soil over the last five years.
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